Showing posts with label TECHNICAL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TECHNICAL. Show all posts

Saturday, November 1, 2014

NIFTY: WE ARE STILL IN WAVE 3

NIFTY ELLIOT WAVE CHART
I am sticking to my count which I had given some time in Aug 2013 as nothing has changed in the hypothesis. Therefore, following is the continuation of the same argument.

Wave 1 started from the low of 4531.15 on 20/12/2011 which took the shape of a Leading Diagonal and ended at 6229.45 and followed by a simple wave 2 correction which corrected 61.8% and made a low of 5119 on 28/08/2013 which marks the beginning of the wave 3. The move that followed had confirmed that NIFTY is in a typical wave 3 move.

Now let us look into the internals of wave 3.

Wave (i) 5119 - 6343
Wave (ii) 6343 - 5933 Little less than 38.2% correction.
Wave (iii) 5933 - 8180 This wave is extended done more that 161.8% (approx 180% of wave (i) )
Wave (iv) 8180 – 7724 This was again a shallow correction done little less than 23.6%

Since we are still in wave 3, the question arises where will it lead us to ? It is presumed that within wave 3, 4 subwaves have been done and now we are witnessing wave 3 (v) .

The typical target for the end of wave (v) and hence the wave 3 comes at
  1. 8893 38.2% of zero to wave 3
  2. 8948 wave (i) = wave (v); whenever wave (iii) extends.

If we take into consideration the major waves which began from 4531 wave 3 has already covered more than (of wave 1)
1.618 @ 7866
1.707 @ 8017
The next ratio which coincides with the targets anticipated from the internals of wave 3 happens to be
2.236 times of wave 1 and gives target for NIFTY @ 8916. Although 2.0 of wave 1 comes @ 8515 one can keep an eye on this along with the internals of the sub wave (v).

The Confluence of Ratios suggest that we may  have wave 3 ending somewhere in the region of 8893- 8916 - 8948.


Happy Trading !
SHEKHAR




Friday, October 31, 2014

CROMPTON GREAVES: TIME TO BUY FOR SHORT TERM

CROPMTON GREAVES DAILY CHART is enclosed with Elliot wave marking.  It is easy to deduce the following.


1. W2 is simple and corrected more than 50%
2. W3 is bit larger than 162% of W1
3. W4 is a complex correction with W 4(c) ending
at 38.2% of W3(subwave a equals subwave c)
4. 1st TGT for W5 will be 232. SL 175.75

Also note that on weekly charts price has made a hammer today. One can long above it with SL below the hammer i.e. 175.75

Happy Trading !
SHEKHAR
Crompton Greaves Daily Chart

Tuesday, October 7, 2014

BHEL: A BIT OF CONFUSION

BHEL MONTHLY CHART

BHEL DAILY CHART
 OR
BHEL DAILY CHART

This chart now seems to add clarity 
BHEL on Oct 09, 2014
BHEL 180 min CHART


Thursday, October 2, 2014

RELIANCE CAPITAL : Time to Buy

RELCAPITAL

Time has come when one should be ready to buy this stock.  Possible target could be minimum 668.9  that is the high of wave 3. Sometimes wave 5 do get shortened but that is an exception.




RELIANCE CAPITAL HOURLY CHART







Keep a close eye on Hourly chart it will give better guidance for Entry.

Happy Trading!
SHEKHAR


Pl correct: 61.8% of wave 3= 443 approx

Friday, August 29, 2014

NIFTY: Still some steam left before corrections sets in.


NIFTY WEEKLY ELLIOT WAVE CHART
Starting from the lows of 4534 we had wave 1 as a leading diagonal ending at 6229. Wave 2 corrected to 61.8% + levels and thereafter we are enjoying a wave 3 move. (A possibility was suggested as an alternate count last Aug.)

For now W3 has already moved beyond normal i.e. more than 161.8% of wave 1 next possible extension is 176.2% or 200% at 8091 & 8495.

NIFTY 15 MIN CHART
Now look at the internals of wave three starting from 5105 which appears to be nearing completion. W 3 ii retraced merely 38.2% of W 3 i,  the normal end of wave 3 comes at 6181. If we further go down and look into what looks like a wave 3 v, it is forming an Ending Diagonal and we are at W 3 v (4).

In nutshell, keep an eye on 8091 -8161 range we may have a meaningful correction starting from there.

Happy Trading!
SHEKHAR 

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

NIFTY MONTHLY CHART JAN 2014



NIFTY MONTHLY CHART
Nifty is at a critical juncture at almost previous highs.  Whereas MACD is showing a clear divergence.

LOOK for sell signal   in STS and MACD.  A fall can be anticipated.

If prices closes above the previous high bull run might continue.  As long as Divergence is there up move will be suspect.

Incidentally it also completes a part of C&H pattern as shown in the previous post below. 

Happy Trading !
SHEKHAR

Monday, September 30, 2013

RELIANCE INDUSTRIES

Reliance Industires 
Reliance Industries Weekly Chart Sept. 27, 2013
Symetrical Triangle.  Keep an  Eye on the Beakout it may give nice move upto 1647.
Please note Chart is weekly and It may take months to give a BO and my take is Once Nifty bottoms out Reliance will lead the Charge in new  Rally
Happy Trading !
SHEKHAR